Subject This paper studies the method of rough analysis of financial results and profitability of a commercial bank. Objectives The paper aims to offer and test the method of rough analysis of financial results and profitability of a commercial bank, provide a short-term forecast of the main determinants of profit on the basis of this analysis, and identify priority directions of the bank's profitability growth. Methods The study is based on the systems approach and dialectical method. As well, it uses statistical, financial, forecast analyses, and comparison. Results The paper proposes a methodology of retrospective rapid analysis of income, expense, profit, and profitability using AO Russian Agricultural Bank's data as a case study for consideration. The paper presents a short-term forecast of quantitative parameters of the main bank's profit determinants and indicate directions of the bank's profitability growth. Conclusions and Relevance The retrospective and predictive analyses of financial results and profitability of the bank's activities are of great importance to financial information users. The system of indicators in the framework of rough analysis, as well as short-term forecast data allow users to get ongoing information about monitored objects.
Keywords: bank, profit, forecast, profitability, rapid analysis