Importance In this research, we examine the heuristic potential for developing renewable power engineering in Russia in terms of a positive effect on the social sector and labor market. Objectives We develop methodological approaches to analyzing the extent and geography of effects that the development of renewable power engineering has in Russia. Methods The research relies upon a systems approach and text analytics of the regulatory and legislative framework, mathematical methods of analysis and modeling, logic and statistical methods. Results We formulated methodological approach to evaluating the social effect of the renewable power engineering development in Russia and forecast the number of workplaces, considering projects for retail and wholesale energy markets and isolated power systems. The article sets out scenarios for commissioning of industrial capacities, suggests the way the number of work places should be estimated at the regional level and their impact on regional unemployment in Russia should be analyzed. I indicate regions where the renewable engineering development will have a positive social impact. Conclusions and Relevance As per the first case scenario, the greatest social effect will be seen in the Astrakhan oblast, Lipetsk oblast, Orenburg oblast, Republic of Adygea, Altai Republic, Republic of Buryatia, Republic of Kalmykia, and the Stavropol Krai. Quantification of social effects may become a guiding principle for mechanisms of the State aid to renewable power engineering when feasibility studies of projects and regional programs for renewable energy are performed.
Keywords: renewable energy sector, social effect, unemployment rate, job creation
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