+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
Finance and Credit
 

Model approaches to stress testing of banks and banking system: Modern trends and opportunities for improvement

Vol. 23, Iss. 8, FEBRUARY 2017

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 22 December 2016

Received in revised form: 11 January 2017

Accepted: 25 January 2017

Available online: 1 March 2017

Subject Heading: Banking

JEL Classification: C39, C53, G17, G21, G32

Pages: 430-449

https://doi.org/10.24891/fc.23.8.430

Selyutin V.V. Institute of Mathematics, Mechanics and Computer Science of Southern Federal University, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
vvs1812@gmail.com

Vlasenko E.A. Statzilla, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
ea.vlasenko@yandex.ru

Mesropyan K.E. Southern Scientific Center of Russian Academy of Sciences, Rostov-on-Don, Russian Federation
carine@list.ru

Subject The article addresses stress testing of banks and the banking system as a risk management tool.
Objectives The aim of the study is to review the existing practices and achievements in the field of stress testing models.
Methods The study draws on literature review, comparative analysis, differential equations.
Results Approaches to stress testing are considered in the context of different aspects, like scenarios, objects (levels), consistency, direction of stress testing, forecast horizon, KPIs in model, size of financial institutions, types of simulated risks.
Conclusion and Relevance In the world practice, the liquidity risk modeling is rather neglected. In particular, the disadvantage of existing models is insufficient consideration of effects related to term structure of assets and liabilities. This paper offers an original approach to building a dynamic model of a bank in continuous time, which takes into account the term structure and can be used for enhancing the assets and liabilities management and for stress testing purposes.

Keywords: stress testing, risk management, mathematical modeling, bank, Basel III

References:

  1. Fattakhova R.Kh. [Assessing the compliance of Russian quality standards for liquidity risk management in credit organizations with Basel principles]. Naukovedenie, 2013, no. 5. (In Russ.) Available at: Link.
  2. Borio C., Drehmann M., Tsatsaronis K. Stress-testing macro stress testing: Does it live up to expectations? Available at: Link.
  3. Melecky M., Podpiera A.M. Macroprudential Stress-Testing Practices of Central Banks in Central and Southeastern Europe: Comparison and Challenges Ahead. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 2012, vol. 48, no. 4, pp. 118–134.
  4. Hu D., Yan J., Zhao J.L., Hua Z. Ontology-based scenario modeling and analysis for bank stress testing. Decision Support Systems, 2014, vol. 63, pp. 81–94. doi: 10.1016/j.dss.2013.08.009
  5. Vazquez F., Tabak B.M., Souto M. A macro stress test model of credit risk for the Brazilian banking sector. Journal of Financial Stability, 2012, vol. 8, iss. 2, pp. 69–83.
  6. Jokivuolle E., Virén M. Cyclical default and recovery in stress testing loan losses. Journal of Financial Stability, 2013, vol. 9, pp. 139–149.
  7. Berger A.N., Bouwman C.H., Kick T., Schaeck K. Bank liquidity creation following regulatory interventions and capital support. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 2016, vol. 26, pp. 115–141.
  8. Taleb N., Canetti E., Kinda T. et al. A new heuristic measure of fragility and tail risks: Application to stress testing. IMF Working Paper, 2012, no. WP/12/216. Available at: Link.
  9. Levy-Carciente S., Kenett D.Y., Avakian A. et al. Dynamical macroprudential stress testing using network theory. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2015, vol. 59, pp. 164–181. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2015.05.008
  10. Stancato de Souza S., Silva T.C., Tabak B.M. et al. Evaluating systemic risk using bank default probabilities in financial networks. Journal of Economic Dynamics & Control, 2016, vol. 66, pp. 54–75.
  11. Battiston S., Puliga M., Kaushik R. et al. DebtRank: Too Central to Fail? Financial Networks, the FED and Systemic Risk. Scientific Reports, 2012, vol. 2, p. 541. doi: 10.1038/srep00541
  12. Hirtle B., Kovner A., Vickery J., Bhanot M. Assessing Financial Stability: The Capital and Loss Assessment under Stress Scenarios (CLASS) model. Federal Reserve Bank of New York Staff Reports, 2014, no. 663, 95 p. Available at: Link.
  13. Leo de Haan, Jan Willem van den End. Bank liquidity, the maturity ladder, and regulation. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2013, vol. 37(10), pp. 3930–3950.
  14. Chiaramonte L., Casu B. Capital and liquidity ratios and financial distress. Evidence from the European banking industry. British Accounting Review, 2016, pp. 1–24. doi: 10.1016/j.bar.2016.04.001
  15. DeYoung R., Jang K.Y. Do banks actively manage their liquidity? Journal of Banking & Finance, 2016, vol. 66, no. 5, pp. 143–161.
  16. Singh A., Sharma A.K. An empirical analysis of macroeconomic and bank-specific factors affecting liquidity of Indian banks. Future Business Journal, 2016, vol. 2, iss. 1, pp. 40–53.
  17. Chen T.-H., Chou H.-H., Chang Y., Fang H. The effect of excess lending on bank liquidity: Evidence from China. International Review of Economics and Finance, 2015, vol. 36, pp. 54–68.
  18. Buncic D., Melecky M. Macroprudential stress testing of credit risk: A practical approach for policy makers. Journal of Financial Stability, 2013, vol. 9, iss. 3, pp. 347–370.
  19. Imbierowicz B., Rauch C. The relationship between liquidity risk and credit risk in banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2014, vol. 40, pp. 242–256.
  20. Berger A.N., Bouwman C.H.S. Bank Liquidity Creation, Monetary Policy, and Financial Crises. Review of Financial Studies, 2009, vol. 22, pp. 3779–3837.
  21. Roy A.D. Safety first and the holding of assets. Econometrica, 1952, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 431–449.
  22. Drehnmann M., Sorensen S., Stringa M. The integrated impact of credit and interest risk on banks: A dynamic framework and stress testing application. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2010, vol. 34, pp. 713–729.
  23. Chacko G., Das S., Fan R. An index-based measure of liquidity. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2016, vol. 68, pp. 162–178.
  24. Basel III: The Liquidity Coverage Ratio and Liquidity Risk Monitoring Tools. Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, Bank for International Settlements, 2013, 75 p. Available at: Link.
  25. Jobst A.A. Measuring systemic risk-adjusted liquidity (SRL) – A model approach. Journal of Banking & Finance, 2014, vol. 45, pp. 270–287.
  26. Tissaoui K., Ftiti Z. Liquidity, liquidity risk, and information flow: Lessons from an emerging market. Research in International Business and Finance, 2016, vol. 37, pp. 28–48.
  27. Lang M., Schmidt P.G. The early warnings of banking crises: Interaction of broad liquidity and demand deposits. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2016, vol. 61, iss. C, pp. 1–29.
  28. Horvath R., Seidler J., Weill L. How bank competition influences liquidity creation. Economic Modelling, 2016, vol. 52, pp. 155–161.
  29. Selyutin V.V., Rudenko M.A. Mathematical Model of Banking Firm as Tool for Analysis, Management and Learning. Informational Technologies in Education, 2013, vol. 16, pp. 170–177. Available at: Link.
  30. Selyutin V.V., Kharuzhnaya M.A. [Mathematical modeling of a bank as a dynamic system]. Vestnik Yuzhnogo nauchnogo tsentra RAN = Bulletin of Southern Scientific Center of RAS, 2015, vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 3–10. (In Russ.)

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 30, Iss. 4
April 2024

Archive