+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
National Interests: Priorities and Security
 

An analytical model of business value: factors of capitalistic competition

Vol. 11, Iss. 30, AUGUST 2015

PDF  Article PDF Version

Received: 16 April 2015

Accepted: 28 April 2015

Available online: 28 August 2015

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC POLICY OF THE STATE

JEL Classification: 

Pages: 2-15

Dranko O.I. Moscow Institute of Physics and Technology, Dolgoprudny, Moscow Oblast, Russian Federation
olegdranko@gmail.com

Importance As Russia demonstrates high rates of its development, it is relevant to devise national methods for managing the world's best methods (practices) and adapting them to the Russian realities. I refer to business value management practices, in particular.
     Objectives This research aims at formulating a compact model of value to be used for rapid assessments, determining considerable factors that influence the value, and illustrating the model with data of the Russian and US entities. The general objective of the research is to answer the question: how can we win (or at least not lose) a capitalistic game, the rules of which we learn in the course of the game?
     Methods I consider the business value model using discounted cash flows. Assuming that some parameters are constant and unchangeable, I use an analytical model to study how the key parameters influence the value.
     Results As opposed to the general opinion on that business value increases as the business grows, I prove that value may decrease even if revenue significantly rises, but there are other unfavorable factors in place. My assessments refer to the average Russian entity and the US public company. Under the existing circumstances, an increase in revenue decreases business value of the average Russian entity and raises business value of the US public company. Growth of national companies results in decreased business value, rather than its increase, due to high capital intensity and risks.
     Conclusions and Relevance I conclude on the need to substantially alter the business efficiency parameters in order to ensure successful and long-term development of entities.

Keywords: value, capitalization, management, mathematical model, rapid assessment method

References:

  1. GDP (Purchasing Power Parity). The World Factbook. Available at: Link.
  2. Russia. The World Factbook. Available at: Link.
  3. Krupneishie kompanii Rossii: ‘Ekspert-400: kto sozdaet ekonomiku Rossii’ [The largest companies of Russia: Expert-400: who creates the Russian economy]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
  4. Tarannikova A. Podderzhat' kapitalizatsiyu iznutri [Supporting capitalization internally]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
  5. The Value Line Investment Survey. The Gold Standard in Investment Research. Available at: Link.
  6. Market Value of Publicly Traded Shares. The World Factbook. Available at: Link.
  7. Cheremushkin S.V. Maksimizirovat' bogatstvo, a ne stoimost' [Maximizing wealth, rather than cost]. Finansy i kredit = Finance and Credit, 2008, no. 33, pp. 45–58.
  8. Copeland T., Koller T., Murrin J. Stoimost' kompanii: otsenka i upravlenie [Valuation: The Value of Companies: Measuring & Managing]. Moscow, Olimp-Biznes Publ., 2008, 576 p.
  9. Brealey R., Myers S. Printsipy korporativnykh finansov [Principles of Corporate Finance]. Moscow, Olimp-Biznes Publ., 2010, 1008 p.
  10. Damodaran A. Investitsionnaya otsenka. Instrumenty i metody otsenki lyubykh aktivov [Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques Determining the Value of Any Asset]. Moscow, Al'pina Pablisher Publ., 2011, 1324 p.
  11. Dranko O.I. Model' finansovogo prognozirovaniya i stsenarii vnutrennikh investitsii [A financial prediction model and home investment scenarios]. Problemy upravleniya = Control Sciences, 2007, no. 1, pp. 37–40.
  12. Kovalev V.V. Vvedenie v finansovyi menedzhment [Introduction to financial management]. Moscow, Finansy i statistika Publ., 2006, 768 p.
  13. Prognozy tsen aktsii [Share price forecasts]. Available at: Link#. (In Russ.)
  14. Damodaran A. The Origins of Growth: Past Growth, Predicted Growth and Fundamental Growth. 2008, June 14. Available at: Link.
  15. Dranko O.I. Kapitaloemkost' vidov deyatel'nosti [Capital intensive activities]. Audit i finansovyi analiz = Audit and Financial Analysis, 2015, no. 3.
  16. Country Default Spreads and Risk Premiums. Available at: Link.
  17. Vneshnii dolg Rossii [Russia's external debt]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.)
  18. A zhit' tak khochetsya, rebyata! [Who would reject life, people?]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.) (accessed 23.06.2014)
  19. Simon H. Skrytye chempiony 21 veka. Strategii uspekha neizvestnykh liderov mirovogo rynka [Hidden Champions of the 21st Century. Success Strategies of Unknown World Market Leaders]. Moscow, KnoRus Publ., 2015, 240 p.
  20. Balashov V.G., Irikov V.A. Tekhnologii povysheniya finansovogo rezul'tata. Praktika i metody [Technologies for improving financial results. Practice and methods]. Moscow, MTsFER Publ., 2009, 672 p.
  21. Balashov V.G., Irikov V.A., Ivanova S.I. Rost i proryv v lidery: praktikum po preodoleniyu krizisa [Growth and taking the lead: a practical course of crisis management]. Moscow, Delo Publ., 2009, 335 p.
  22. Biryukov S.E., Khainish S.V. Ot strategii vyzhivaniya k strategii aktivnogo razvitiya. Praktika reformirovaniya i finansovogo ozdorovleniya OAO Vladimirskii zavod Elektropribor (iz opyta upravlencheskogo konsul'tirovaniya) [Shifting from the survival strategy to the active development strategy. Practice of reforming and financial recovery of OAO Vladimirskii zavod Elektropribor (Based on management consulting practice)]. Moscow, IRIAS Publ., 2001, 196 p.
  23. Dranko O.I., Otarashvili Z.A., Sushkov D.V. Formirovanie programmy innovatsionnogo razvitiya: upravlenie stoimost'yu [Cost management under program of innovations]. Problemy upravleniya = Control Sciences, 2012, no. 6, pp. 26–31.
  24. Dranko O.I., Filimonov V.S. Issledovanie parametrov upravleniya v analiticheskoi modeli stoimosti kompanii: rost sil'nykh, padenie slabykh [Investigating control parameters of the analytical model of business value: growth of strong, fall of weak]. Problemy upravleniya = Control Sciences, 2014, no. 6, pp. 52–58.
  25. Matritsa defoltov, otzyvov litsenzii i sanatsii kompanii [The matrix of defaults, license recalls and corporate sanitation]. Available at: Link. (In Russ.) (accessed 01.04.2015)

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-875X (Online)
ISSN 2073-2872 (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 20, Iss. 4
April 2024

Archive