National Interests: Priorities and Security

Risk assessment during food procurement for the correctional system of the Russian Federation

Vol. 14, Iss. 7, JULY 2018

Received: 28 February 2018

Received in revised form: 26 March 2018

Accepted: 15 April 2018

Available online: 16 July 2018


JEL Classification: C38, H57

Pages: 1287–1304

Pruzhinina O.P. Academy of FPS of Russia, Ryazan, Russian Federation

Importance The article overviews the principal procurement risks at the planning phase.
Objectives I devise methods to assess the procurement risk during the planning phase.
Methods Risks are assessed using the analytic hierarchy process and linguistic evaluation scale.
Results I determined risk factors during the planning of procurement for the correctional system. The article presents verbal and numerical scales to evaluate the probability of errors due to certain factors. I also assessed the food procurement risk at the planning phase using the proposed method with respect to the local body of the Federal Penitentiary Service of Russia.
Conclusions and Relevance The proposed method helps assess the procurement risk during the planning process and determine to what extent each factor influences the results, which will underlie activities for reducing the procurement risk during the planning phase. The methods are supposed for leaders of contractual functions of correctional institutions and bodies.

Keywords: procurement, risk, planning, correctional system


  1. Institut obshchestvennykh zakupok v sovremennoi rossiiskoi ekonomike: monografiya [The institute of public procurement in the modern Russian economy: a monograph]. Moscow, Institute of Economics RAS Publ., 2016, 280 p.
  2. Pruzhinina O.P. [Risks of public procurement system and their impact on the effectiveness of the criminal-executive system]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Journal of Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2016, no. 10-1, pp. 113–116. (In Russ.)
  3. Bardulin E.N., Avdot'in V.P., Kozin M.N., Nosov V.V. [Developing a model of integral risk management against natural and man-made hazards at military infrastructure facilities]. Tekhnologii grazhdanskoi bezopasnosti = Civil Security Technology, 2017, vol. 14, no. 3, pp. 74–80. URL: (In Russ.)
  4. Lyubushin N.P., Brikach G.E. [Harrington's desirability generalized function in multiple parameter economic tasks]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2014, no. 18, pp. 2–10. URL: (In Russ.)
  5. Saaty T. Prinyatie reshenii. Metod analiza ierarkhii [Decision Making for Leaders: The Analytical Hierarchy Process for Decisions in a Complex World]. Moscow, Radio i svyaz' Publ., 1993, 278 p.
  6. Tikhomirova A.N., Sidorenko E.V. [Variation of hierarchy analysis method T. Saaty for the reckoning of criteria weights for innovative project estimation]. Sovremennye problemy nauki i obrazovaniya, 2012, no. 2, pp. 261–268. (In Russ.) URL:
  7. Harrington E.C. The Desirability Function. Industrial Quality Control, 1965, vol. 21, no. 10, pp. 494–498.
  8. Novikov P.N. [Certification of qualifications as a way to evaluate the quality of educational services and increase its competitiveness]. Ekonomika. Nalogi. Pravo = Economics. Taxes. Law, 2012, no. 3, pp. 62–67. URL: (In Russ.)
  9. Gladilina I.P. [Managerial competence of customers and the professional standard of specialists in procurement]. Fundamental'nye issledovaniya = Fundamental Research, 2016, no. 5-1, pp. 101–105. (In Russ.)
  10. Kibirov A.Ya., Novozhilova Zh.S. [Specifics of food supply to institutions of the penitentiary system]. Agroprodovol'stvennaya politika Rossii = Agro-Food Policy in Russia, 2017, no. 7, pp. 13–18. (In Russ.)
  11. Schreibfeder J. Effektivnoe upravlenie zapasami [Achieving Effective Inventory Management]. Moscow, Al'pina Biznes Buks Publ., 2006, 304 p.

View all articles of issue


ISSN 2311-875X (Online)
ISSN 2073-2872 (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 14, Iss. 8
August 2018