Subject. The article addresses the development of enterprises of the Russian military-industrial complex, improvement of the combat capability of the Armed Forces. Objectives. The focus is on the analysis of military component as a separate parameter of the gross domestic product determining the probability of the country's survival. Methods. The study employs tools of economic and mathematical modeling. Results. We developed a probabilistic statistical model of the economic system, which will improve the feasibility of managerial decisions, taking into account the military component. Conclusions. The findings of the study can be taken into account in the implementation of Russia's defense capability strengthening programs.
Keywords: economic system, progress, military component, probability of survival
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