Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Economic and statistical analysis of the impact of customs agencies' performance indicators on customs payments volume

Vol. 16, Iss. 11, NOVEMBER 2017

Received: 24 July 2017

Received in revised form: 28 September 2017

Accepted: 19 October 2017

Available online: 29 November 2017

Subject Heading: MATHEMATICAL METHODS AND MODELS

JEL Classification: С01, F02, P33

Pages: 2189–2202

https://doi.org/10.24891/ea.16.11.2189

Popov V.V. Orenburg State University, Orenburg, Russian Federation popovvv1@yandex.ru

Subject The article addresses methods to assess the impact of customs agencies' key performance indicators and to forecast on their basis the volume of customs charges on the Orenburg customs case.
Objectives The purpose is to identify the extent to which the key performance indicators of customs agencies influence the movement of customs payments on the basis of developed factor models, and to project these values in the near term.
Methods I employ general scientific research techniques, like dialectic, monographic methods, logical analysis, comparison, and the method of correlative regression and factor analysis.
Results I reviewed the works of Russian and foreign scientists on customs charges in customs unions and performed a factor analysis of various economic indicators. The paper presents and scientifically proves the procedure for a factor analysis of customs charges by regional customs, as well as a primary system of factors based on statistical observation. The findings can be applied by customs authorities in their operations and in the educational process of higher schools.
Conclusions and Relevance The federal budget replenishment by customs payments closely correlates with a number of performance indicators of customs agencies. The regression models built on the basis of the performance indicators enabled to get a very accurate forecast.

Keywords: customs statistics, customs payment, customs authorities

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