Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice

Abstracting and Indexing

Referativny Zhurnal VINITI RAS
Google Scholar

Online available



Cyberleninka (12 month OA embargo)

Market conditions at the meso-economic level in the Mari El Republic: The effects of micro-level factors

Vol. 17, Iss. 11, NOVEMBER 2018

Received: 23 July 2018

Received in revised form: 20 August 2018

Accepted: 17 September 2018

Available online: 29 November 2018


JEL Classification: C53, D5, F47, G17, L1

Pages: 2010–2026

Chernykh V.V. Volga State University of Technology, Yoshkar-Ola, Mari El Republic, Russian Federation

Subject The study considers the methods for market forecast at meso-economic level, technologies for administrative barriers elimination, and techniques for negative external effects prevention.
Objectives The aim is to explore applicability of calculation techniques and create models to predict market performance on the basis of various factors influencing the market development at the meso-economic level.
Methods To predict the market situation at the meso-economic level, I apply stochastic models, models of indicative planning, statistical and dynamic models, and methods to assess of harmonization.
Results The paper systematizes methods for market forecast at local and meso-economic levels, technologies for administrative barriers elimination at the meso-level, and presents techniques for negative external effects neutralization. It shows trends in foreign trade turnover, export and import flows, accounts receivable and payable in the Mari El Republic. I revealed external effects caused by the existence of administrative barriers, like obstacles to incurring debts and to violations of labor legislation (positive), and an increase in taxes and insurance contributions (negative).
Conclusions The novelty aspect of the study is that it investigates the impact of externalities at the micro-level on cyclical fluctuations of markets at the meso-economic level (such factors as compliance with labor legislation, payment of wages, status of housing and communal services). I recommend annual monitoring of socio-economic situation in regions based on comprehensive assessment of market conditions. This will enable to take necessary measures in the event of declining living standards.

Keywords: forecasting technique, externality, administrative barriers, meso-economic level


  1. Ivanova T.K. [Mezoekonomika: Property and the Economic Interests]. Ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Economics: Theory and Practice, 2011, no. 1, pp. 27–33. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  2. Gladyshev A.G. et al. Munitsipal'naya nauka: teoriya, metodologiya, praktika [Municipal science: Theory, methodology, practice]. Moscow, Munitsipal'nyi mir Publ., 2003, 284 p.
  3. Kazantsev S.Yu., Frolov I.E. [Conditions and potential for information and communication complex development]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2005, no. 3, pp. 34–40. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  4. Lavlinskii S.V. [Models of indicative planning of social and economic development of the staples theory]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2005, no. 3, pp. 63–77. URL: Link
  5. Uskova T.V. Upravlenie ustoichivym razvitiem regiona [Management of sustainable development of the region]. Vologda, Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of RAS Publ., 2009, 355 p.
  6. Nizova L.M. Sovremennyi rynok truda kak faktor sotsial'noi bezopasnosti naseleniya: monografiya [The modern labor market as a factor of social security of the population: a monograph]. Yoshkar-Ola, Volga State University of Technology Publ., 2017, 178 p.
  7. Bodyako A.V., Burmistrova L.A., Gobareva Ya.L. et al. Vnutrennie istochniki sovershenstvovaniya upravleniya finansami v sovremennoi Rossii: monografiya [Internal sources of improving the financial management in modern Russia: a monograph]. Moscow, State University of Management Publ., 2016, 101 p.
  8. Chernykh V.V. [On applying the techniques to evaluate local markets' investment attractiveness]. Predprinimatel'stvo = Entrepreneurship, 2013, no. 3, pp. 32–36. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  9. Avdasheva S.B., Korneeva D.V. [Competition policy in export-oriented markets: whether remedies are really effective?]. Ekonomicheskii zhurnal VShE = The HSE Economic Journal, 2016, vol. 20, no. 3, pp. 442–470. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  10. Chernykh V.V., Nizova L.M. [The condition and prospects for housing and communal services development in the Mari El Republic]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2018, no. 2, pp. 124–129. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  11. Kryuchkova P.V. Samoregulirovanie: sravnitel'nye preimushchestva, formy i usloviya razvitiya. V kn.: Tri issledovaniya po konkurentnoi politike [Self-regulation: Comparative advantages, forms and conditions for development. In: Three studies on competition policy]. Moscow, TEIS Publ., 2002, 383 p.
  12. Sonin K.I. Uroki ekonomiki [Lessons on economics]. Moscow, Yunaited Press Publ., 2011, 256 p.
  13. Nizova L.M., Sannikova T.V. Tripartizm v sfere sotsial'no-trudovykh otnoshenii: monografiya [Tripartism in the sphere of social and labor relations: a monograph]. Yoshkar-Ola, Volga State University of Technology Publ., 2017, 204 p.

View all articles of issue


ISSN 2311-8725 (Online)
ISSN 2073-039X (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 18, Iss. 4
April 2019