Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice

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Simulation modeling to predict industrial cluster development in Russia on the transport corridor formation case

Vol. 18, Iss. 2, FEBRUARY 2019

Received: 6 November 2018

Received in revised form: 14 November 2018

Accepted: 27 November 2018

Available online: 28 February 2019


JEL Classification: E61, F62, R40

Pages: 327–338

Abramov V.I. Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russian Federation

Subject The article reveals trends in the Russian energy supply system. It describes the infrastructure that forms a basis for development and deployment of productive forces with the help of territorial industrial clusters.
Objectives The study aims to devise tools to model the implementation of large-scale projects under the program for Russian industrial cluster development.
Methods I employ methods of economic analysis, expert assessments, and the agent-oriented approach to simulation.
Results The EU-Russia Energy Dialogue is an important aspect of bilateral partnership. Successful economic integration within the international cooperation requires a common infrastructure for development of economic agents in production clusters, which concentrate energy and commodity flows. Large-scale projects implementation necessitates special tools for making effective management decisions. It is proved that in the context of simulation modeling the most appropriate is to use the agent-based approach, which enables to study the behavior of both the decentralized agents and the entire system.
Conclusions Using the developed agent-oriented model of industrial cluster formation and functioning, the paper confirms a hypothesis about high dependence of regional industrial potential on the presence of industrial clusters and international transport corridors in the region.

Keywords: simulation modeling, agent-based modeling, industrial cluster, transport corridor


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