+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice
 

Equilibrium and input-output modeling of economic environment

Vol. 18, Iss. 4, APRIL 2019

Received: 19 February 2019

Received in revised form: 7 March 2019

Accepted: 21 March 2019

Available online: 26 April 2019

Subject Heading: THEORY OF ECONOMIC ANALYSIS

JEL Classification: B41, C02, C61, C68

Pages: 663–680

https://doi.org/10.24891/ea.18.4.663

Toroptsev E.L. North Caucasian Federal University, Stavropol, Russian Federation
eltoroptsev@yandex.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4036-6002

Marakhovskii A.S. Sole Proprietor, Stavropol, Russian Federation
marahov@yandex.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2248-8425

Duszynski R.R. National Louis University, College of Arts and Sciences, Chicago, Illinois, USA
ramzia@aol.com

ORCID id: not available

Subject The article addresses the equilibrium and input-output models of economic environment.
Objectives The purpose of the study is to substantiate the rationale for development of a new class of macroeconomic models on the basis of integration of computable general equilibrium models and dynamic input-output models.
Methods The methodology rests on the fundamentals of the theory of neoclassical economics. The system analysis and the input-output analysis, differential equations and algebraic indices of system dynamics expanded the informational, analytical and predictive capabilities of the developed computing complex. The paper presents our ideas for creating the elements of in-house database of computational studies, which helps realize many provisions in the field of economic environment modeling.
Results We define necessary and sufficient conditions for maintaining the economic growth in Russia, present recommendations for accepting specific mathematical forms of production, utility and cost functions in the model. These functions are accepted in case of coincidence of gross output by type of economic activity in the calculations, using input-output and equilibrium models. The rationale for the use of equilibrium models rests on the preliminary analysis of structural factors of economic dynamics.
Conclusions We present a new class of computable equilibrium and input-output models. They enable to create a unified system to evaluate the effectiveness of structural policy decisions. Such a system is based on indicators of economy's own dynamic properties and operates along with computable equilibrium models.

Keywords: structural stability, CGE-model, input-output balance

References:

  1. Grassini M. [Problems of applying computable general equilibrium models for forecasting economic dynamics]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2009, no. 2, pp. 30–47. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  2. Izotov D.A. [Empirical models of general economic equilibrium]. Prostranstvennaya ekonomika = Spatial Economics, 2014, no. 3, pp. 138–167. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  3. Lavrent'ev A.S., Krinichanskii K.V. [Methods of evaluation of the impact of structural policy on macroeconomic parameters: General equilibrium models]. Regional'naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, 2016, no. 9, pp. 98–112. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  4. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R., Sulakshin S.S. Primenenie vychislimykh modelei v gosudarstvennom upravlenii [Applying computable models in public administration]. Moscow, Nauchnyi ekspert Publ., 2007, 304 p.
  5. Johansen L. A Multi-sectoral Study of Economic Growth. Amsterdam, North Holland Publishing Co., 1964, 274 p.
  6. Shoven J.B., Whalley J. Applied General-Equilibrium Models of Taxation and International Trade: An Introduction and Survey. Journal of Economic Literature, 1984, vol. 22, iss. 3, pp. 1007–1051. URL: Link
  7. Shoven J.B., Whalley J. Applying General Equilibrium. Cambridge, UK, Cambridge University Press, 1992, 299 p.
  8. Dixon P.B., Parmenter B.R. Computable General Equilibrium Modelling for Policy Analysis and Forecasting. In: Handbook of Computational Economics. H.M. Amman, D.A. Kendrick, J. Rust (eds), Elsevier Science B.V., 1996.
  9. Medvedev D.A. [Social and economic development of Russia: Discovering a new dynamics]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2016, no. 10, pp. 5–30. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  10. Nemchinov V.S. Izbrannye proizvedeniya. Planirovanie i narodno-khozyaistvennye balansy [Selected works. Planning and national accounts]. Moscow, Nauka Publ., 1968, vol. 5, 428 p.
  11. Uzyakov M.N. [Problems of constructing an input-output equilibrium model of the Russian economy]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2000, no. 2, pp. 18–33. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  12. Lyubushin N.P., Babicheva N.E., Konyshkov A.S. [Sustainable development: Evaluation, analysis, forecasting]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2017, vol. 16, iss. 12, pp. 2392–2406. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  13. Serebryakov G.R. [Experience in building a dynamic input-output equilibrium model of the Russian economy]. Problemy prognozirovaniya = Problems of Forecasting, 2000, no. 2, pp. 3–19. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  14. Lyubushin N.P., Babicheva N.E., Usachev D.G., Shustova M.N. [Genesis of the concept of sustainable development of economic systems of various hierarchical levels]. Regional'naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, 2015, no. 48, pp. 2–14. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  15. El'shin L.A. [Methodological approaches to forecasting the industrial development based on the simulation of economic agents' expectations]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2017, vol. 16, iss. 11, pp. 2028–2042. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  16. Glaz'ev S.Yu. Strategiya operezhayushchego razvitiya Rossii v usloviyakh global'nogo krizisa [The strategy of rapid development of Russia in the global crisis]. Moscow, Ekonomika Publ., 2010, 287 p.
  17. Nekipelov A.D., Ivanter V.V., Glaz'ev S.Yu. Rossiya na puti k sovremennoi dinamichnoi i effektivnoi ekonomike [Russia on the road to modern dynamic and affective economy]. Moscow, RAS Publ., 2013, 93 p.
  18. Chereshnev V.A., Chistova E.V. [Determination of regional aspects of population aging in Russia]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2017, vol. 16, iss. 12, pp. 2206–2223. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  19. Leontief W. Ekonomicheskoe esse. Teorii, issledovaniya, fakty i politika [Essays in Economics: Theories, Facts, and Policies]. Moscow, Politicheskaya literatura Publ., 1990, 416 p.
  20. Voevodina N.V. Inertsionnost' natsional'noi ekonomiki: fundamental'naya baza issledovaniya [The inertia of the national economy: Fundamental basis of the study]. Vladivostok, FESU Publ., 2002, 133 p.
  21. Sidnina V.L. [The inertia of the economic system]. Obshchestvo i ekonomika = Society and Economics, 2002, no. 2, pp. 144–149. (In Russ.)
  22. Ageeva O.Yu., Spakhov S.V., Yushkova V.E. [Rigidities of economic systems as a factor of boom-and-bust economy]. Vestnik Voronezhskogo gosudarstvennogo agrarnogo universiteta = Vestnik of Voronezh State Agrarian University, 2018, no. 3, pp. 231–237. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  23. Sidnina V.L. [Forms of inertia manifestation in the socio-economic system]. Vestnik Orenburgskogo gosudarstvennogo universiteta = Vestnik of Orenburg State University, 2002, no. 2, pp. 150–154. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  24. Lankin V.E., Oleinikov I.N., Dorovskoi S.B. [Money circulation rate parameters calculation model for regionalsystems]. Ekonomicheskaya nauka sovremennoi Rossii = Economics of Contemporary Russia, 2000, no. 1, pp. 31–39. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  25. Rudakova I.E. [On the application of the language of economic theory and basic economic models for the Russian economy analysis]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2001, no. 12, pp. 32–45. (In Russ.)
  26. Johansson A. et al. Looking to 2060: Long-term Global Growth Prospects: A Going for Growth Report. OECD Economic Policy Papers, 2012, no. 3, 30 p. URL: Link
  27. Sosvilla-Rivero S., del Carmen Ramos-Herrera M. Inflation, real economic growth and unemployment expectations: An empirical analysis based on the ECB survey of professional forecasters. Applied Economics, 2018, vol. 50, iss. 42. URL: Link
  28. Baranova N.M., Sorokin L.V. [An impact of human capital on the sustainable economic development]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2017, vol. 16, iss. 12, pp. 2224–2237. (In Russ.) URL: Link

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-8725 (Online)
ISSN 2073-039X (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 23, Iss. 3
March 2024

Archive