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Financial Analytics: Science and Experience
 

Foreign expertise in stress testing of the banking sector and the possibility to adapt it to the Russian practice

Vol. 13, Iss. 3, SEPTEMBER 2020

Received: 21 May 2020

Received in revised form: 10 June 2020

Accepted: 27 June 2020

Available online: 14 August 2020

Subject Heading: MONITORING AND PREDICTION OF BANKING RISKS

JEL Classification: E27, E58, G28

Pages: 343–358

https://doi.org/10.24891/fa.13.3.343

Khutorova N.A. Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russian Federation
khutorova-na@ranepa.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2123-4573

Miroshnikova V.V. Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), Moscow, Russian Federation
miroshnikova.valentina@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0001-2269

Subject. Designated to measure the resilience of a financial system to stress in the real economy, spillover effects within the system and their induction, macroprudential stress testing is essential to the systemic risk assessment.
Objectives. We examine the foreign expertise in stress testing of the banking sector and the possibility to adapt it to the Russian practice.
Methods. The study is based on methods of analysis, comparison and systematization of the data collected.
Results. We conducted a comparative analysis of the best foreign practices of stress testing in banking and evaluated whether it could be adapted to the Russian practice.
Conclusions. Foreign stress testing practices are distinctive as the development level of financial markets and methodology of stress testing are different. The Basel Committee is a pivot in the development of principal approaches, which subnationally sets up the way the mechanism evolves. It is generalizing and analyzing regulators' practices in the leading countries. The stress testing methodology of the Central Bank of Russia is compliant with the Basel recommendations, with its quality being highly recognized under part of the IMF FSAP. The approach will help the Central Bank make stress testing more precise. It is reasonable to adapt some foreign practices, such as a stress testing horizon to be extended from a year up to 3–5 years; the use of dynamic balance sheets of banks to predict knock-on effects and an inverse reaction; the preparation of research and cyclical scenarios; the Central Bank's disclosure practice to be applicable to a greater audience; stress testing of the mala fide behavior risk.

Keywords: stress testing, macroprudential stress testing, banking sector, banking risks

References:

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