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Assessment and prediction of potential threats to the regional labor market

Vol. 25, Iss. 3, MARCH 2019

Received: 11 July 2018

Received in revised form: 15 January 2019

Accepted: 29 January 2019

Available online: 29 March 2019

Subject Heading: BUSINESS VALUE

JEL Classification: I32, J11, J64

Pages: 721–736

https://doi.org/10.24891/fc.25.3.721

Savina T.N. National Research Ogarev Mordovia State University (MRSU), Saransk, Republic of Mordovia, Russian Federation
savinatn@yandex.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8222-052X

Subject This article discusses and analyzes potential threats affecting the labor market.
Objectives The article aims to assess the predicted state of potential threats to the regional labor market.
Methods For the study, I used the methods of logical unity, analysis and synthesis, dialectical and structural methods, and specific methods of estimation and forecasting of potential threats to the labor market.
Results The article analyzes and summarizes the forecast indicators of the labor market for the period 2018–2025. Based on the analysis of changes in the working population, assessment of the status of unemployment and wages, the article predicts potential threats to the regional labor market.
Conclusions and Relevance The study shows that the labor market in the period up to 2020 will develop against the backdrop of declining working population. The results of the study can be used by the authorities to justify employment policies at different levels in the development of strategically important documents and social development programs in the region, and in the practice of employment services.

Keywords: unemployment, labor market, able-bodied population, forecast

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