Finance and Credit

Abstracting and Indexing

Referativny Zhurnal VINITI RAS
LCCN Permalink
Google Scholar

Online available



Cyberleninka (12 month OA embargo)

Assessment and prediction of potential threats to the regional labor market

Vol. 25, Iss. 3, MARCH 2019

Received: 11 July 2018

Received in revised form: 15 January 2019

Accepted: 29 January 2019

Available online: 29 March 2019

Subject Heading: BUSINESS VALUE

JEL Classification: I32, J11, J64

Pages: 721–736

Savina T.N. National Research Ogarev Mordovia State University (MRSU), Saransk, Republic of Mordovia, Russian Federation

Subject This article discusses and analyzes potential threats affecting the labor market.
Objectives The article aims to assess the predicted state of potential threats to the regional labor market.
Methods For the study, I used the methods of logical unity, analysis and synthesis, dialectical and structural methods, and specific methods of estimation and forecasting of potential threats to the labor market.
Results The article analyzes and summarizes the forecast indicators of the labor market for the period 2018–2025. Based on the analysis of changes in the working population, assessment of the status of unemployment and wages, the article predicts potential threats to the regional labor market.
Conclusions and Relevance The study shows that the labor market in the period up to 2020 will develop against the backdrop of declining working population. The results of the study can be used by the authorities to justify employment policies at different levels in the development of strategically important documents and social development programs in the region, and in the practice of employment services.

Keywords: unemployment, labor market, able-bodied population, forecast


  1. Smith A. Issledovanie o prirode i prichinakh bogatstva narodov [An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations]. Moscow, Os'-89 Publ., 1997, 255 p.
  2. Ricardo D. Nachala politicheskoi ekonomii i nalogovogo oblozheniya [On the Principles of Political Economy and Taxation]. Moscow, Eksmo Publ., 2016, 1040 p.
  3. Malthus T.R. Opyt o zakone narodonaseleniya [An Essay on the Principle of Population]. Petrozavodsk, Petrokom Publ., 1993, 144 p.
  4. Marx K. Naemnyi trud i capital [Lohnarbeit und Kapital]. In: K. Marx and F. Engels Writings. Vol. 6. Moscow, Gospolitizdat Publ., 1957.
  5. Marshall A. Printsipy ekonomicheskoi nauki [Principles of Economics]. Moscow, Direkt-media Publ., 2012, 2127 p.
  6. Keynes J.M. Obshchaya teoriya zanyatosti, protsenta i deneg [The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money]. Moscow, Eksmo Publ., 2007, 960 p.
  7. Samuelson P.A. Ekonomika. T. 1 [Economics]. Moscow, Alfavit Publ., 1993, vol. 1, 430 p.
  8. Ashournia D. Labour Market Effects of International Trade When Mobility is Costly. Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, 2018, vol. 128, iss. 616, pp. 3008–3038. URL: Link
  9. Bradley J., Kügler A. Labor Market Reforms: An Evaluation of the Hartz Policies in Germany. European Economic Review, 2019, vol. 113, pp. 108–135. URL: Link
  10. Card D. Introduction: A Good Start? Determinants of Initial Labor Market Success. Journal of Labor Economics, 2019, vol. 37, no. S1, pp. 1–9. URL: Link
  11. Sajons C. Birthright Citizenship and Parental Labor Market Integration. Labour Economics, 2019, vol. 57, pp. 1–22. URL: Link
  12. Belashova A.N., Nevecherya A.P. [Perspective of the intersectoral dynamics of labor resources in the labor market of the Russian Federation until 2018]. Politematicheskii setevoi nauchnyi zhurnal KubGAU, 2017, no. 129, pp. 431–442. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  13. Bokova N.A. [Socio-economic and financial features of the regional labor market]. Problemy nauchnoi mysli = Problems of Scientific Thought, 2017, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 395–396. (In Russ.)
  14. Bylkov V.G., Samarina M.V. [Features of the development of the regional labor market in conditions of socio-economic crisis]. Transportnaya infrastruktura sibirskogo regiona, 2017, vol. 2, pp. 238–241. (In Russ.)
  15. Volgin N.A. [New changes and transformations in modern labor sphere of russia – incentives or brakes of development?]. Okhrana i ekonomika truda, 2017, no. 1, pp. 4–7. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  16. Gimpel'son V.E., Kapelyushnikov R.I. [The Russian labour market model: trial by recession]. Zhurnal novoi ekonomicheskoi assotsiatsii = Journal of the New Economic Association, 2015, no. 2, pp. 249–253. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  17. Gnevasheva V.A. [Migration processes of labour market]. Sovremennaya nauka: aktual'nye problemy teorii i praktiki. Seriya: Ekonomika i pravo = Modern Science: Actual Problems of Theory and Practice. Series: Economics and Law, 2017, no. 5, pp. 10–14. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  18. Zaslavskii I. [To a new paradigm of the labor market]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 1998, no. 2, pp. 56–63. (In Russ.)
  19. Kapelyushnikov R.I., Luk'yanova A.L. [Paradoxes of reservation wage setting in the Russian labor market. Part I]. Voprosy Ekonomiki, 2016, no. 8, pp. 5–27. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  20. Maslova I. [Forecasts of unemployment and the adjustment of employment policy]. Chelovek i trud = Man and Labor, 2010, no. 6, pp. 29–33. (In Russ.)
  21. Sanovich M.A. [The analysis of the status and problems of regional labour market]. Uspekhi sovremennoi nauki = Modern Science Success, 2017, vol. 7, iss. 4, pp. 87–91. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  22. Chernova T.V. [To organization of labor market monitoring of municipal unit for determining the demand for skilled personnel ]. Vestnik Rostovskogo gosudarstvennogo ekonomicheskogo universiteta (RINKh) = Vestnik of Rostov State University of Economics (RINH), 2017, no. 1, pp. 135–141. (In Russ.)
  23. Eskenderov A.G., Gadzhiev G.G., Kashirin V.V., Kel'bikhanova N.G. [Informal employment in the labor-surplus region: Approaches to assessing the extent and dynamics]. Regional'naya ekonomika: teoriya i praktika = Regional Economics: Theory and Practice, 2017, vol. 15, iss. 9, pp. 1654–1668. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  24. Yakovleva E.A. [Analysis of key indicators of the Russian labor market]. Naukovedenie, 2014, no. 6. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  25. Savina T.N. [Unemployment as an indicator of economic security in the employment sector: A regional dimension]. Ekonomicheskii analiz: teoriya i praktika = Economic Analysis: Theory and Practice, 2018, vol. 17, iss. 2, pp. 217–231. (In Russ.) URL: Link

View all articles of issue


ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 25, Iss. 5
May 2019