+7 925 966 4690, 9am6pm (GMT+3), Monday – Friday
ИД «Финансы и кредит»

JOURNALS

  

FOR AUTHORS

  

SUBSCRIBE

    
Finance and Credit
 

Calculation of the discount rate for the Russian market in present-day conditions

Vol. 29, Iss. 4, APRIL 2023

Received: 26 January 2023

Received in revised form: 13 February 2023

Accepted: 27 February 2023

Available online: 27 April 2023

Subject Heading: FINANCIAL CAPITAL

JEL Classification: C82, G31, O16

Pages: 795–839

https://doi.org/10.24891/fc.29.4.795

Dmitrii S. VORONOV UMMC Technical University, Verkhnyaya Pyshma, Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russian Federation
vds1234@yandex.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9540-5558

Lyudmila A. RAMENSKAYA Ural State University of Economics (USUE), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
ramen_lu@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3884-4500

Ruslan A. DOLZHENKO Ural State University of Economics (USUE), Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation
snurk17@gmail.com

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3524-3005

Subject. This article focuses on the consideration of the algorithm and methodological approaches to assessing the cost of capital.
Objectives. The article aims to develop a practical algorithm for assessing the cost of capital and calculating the discount rate based on ruble risk-free assets and Russian financial statistics.
Methods. For the study, we used the Weighted Average Capital Cost (WACC) and Capital Asset Pricing (CAPM) models.
Results. The article offers a tested step-by-step algorithm for calculating the cost of capital and risk premium loading to it using domestic financial statistics. It also justifies the need to take non-systematic risks out and beyond the weighted average capital cost and offers a deterministic mechanism for their assessment.
Conclusions and Relevance. The author-developed algorithm for estimating the cost of capital, as well as methodological recommendations for its use, can be used by domestic investors to make the necessary decisions, as well as by the financial services of Russian companies to build the economic policy of the company. Using the proposed approach may help obtain a more adequate assessment of the cost of capital of Russian companies for domestic investors, thereby improving their competitiveness.

Keywords: risk-free asset, risk assessment, Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), Weighed Average Capital Cost (WACC), discount rate

References:

  1. Modigliani F., Miller M.H. Corporate Income Taxes and the Cost of Capital: A Correction. The American Economic Review, 1963, vol. 53, no. 3, pp. 433–443. URL: Link
  2. Markowitz H. Portfolio Selection. The Journal of Finance, 1952, vol. 7, iss. 1, pp. 77–91. URL: Link
  3. Tobin J. Liquidity Preference as Behavior Towards Risk. The Review of Economic Studies, 1958, vol. 25, iss. 2, pp. 65–86. URL: Link
  4. Sharpe W.F. Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. The Journal of Finance, 1964, vol. 19, iss. 3, pp. 425–442. URL: Link
  5. Lintner J. The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1965, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 13–37. URL: Link
  6. Miller M.H., Scholes M. Rates of Return in Relation to Risk: A Reexamination of Some Recent Findings. In: M. Jensen (ed.) Studies in the Theory of Capital Markets. New York, Praeger, 1972, pp. 47–78.
  7. Miles D., Timmermann A. Variation in Expected Stock Returns: Evidence on the Pricing of Equities from a Cross-Section of UK Companies. Economica, 1996, vol. 63, no. 251, pp. 369–382. URL: Link
  8. Basu S. Investment Performance of Common Stocks in Relation to Their Price-Earnings Ratios: A Test of Efficient Market Hypothesis. The Journal of Finance, 1977, vol. 32, iss. 3, pp. 663–682. URL: Link
  9. Davis J.L. The Cross-Section of Realized Stock Returns: The Pre-COMPUSTAT Evidence. The Journal of Finance, 1994, vol. 49, iss. 5, pp. 1579–1593. URL: Link
  10. Black F. Capital Market Equilibrium with Restricted Borrowing. The Journal of Business, 1972, vol. 45, iss. 3, pp. 444–455. URL: Link
  11. Faff R.W., Brooks R.D. Time-varying Beta Risk for Australian Industry Portfolios: An Exploratory Analysis. Journal of Business Finance and Accounting, 1998, vol. 25, iss. 5-6, pp. 721–745. URL: Link
  12. Roll R. A Critique of the Asset Pricing Theory's Tests Part I: On Past and Potential Testability of the Theory. Journal of Financial Economics, 1977, vol. 4, iss. 2, pp. 129–176. URL: Link90009-5
  13. Fama E.F., French K.R. Common Risk Factors in the Returns on Stocks and Bonds. Journal of Financial Economics, 1993, vol. 33, iss. 1, pp. 3–56. URL: Link90023-5
  14. Carhart M.M. On Persistence in Mutual Fund Performance. The Journal of Finance, 1997, vol. 52, iss. 1, pp. 57–82. URL: Link
  15. Estrada J. Systematic Risk in Emerging Markets: The D-CAPM. Emerging Markets Review, 2002, vol. 3, iss. 4, pp. 365–379. URL: Link00042-0
  16. Teplova T.V., Selivanova N.V. [Empirical study of the applicability of the DCAPM model in emerging markets]. Korporativnye finansy, 2007, vol. 1, no. 3, pp. 5–25. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  17. Sidorenko G.G., Sidorenko O.G., Termosesov D.S. [Stock market pricing: capital asset returns model (CAPM) and Fama-French model]. Gosudarstvennoe i munitsipal'noe upravlenie. Uchenye zapiski = State and Municipal Administration. Scientific Notes, 2022, no. 2, pp. 135–141. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  18. Dorofeev A.Yu., Filatov V.V., Medvedev V.M. et al. [The method of calculating the discount rate using the capital asset pricing]. Internet-zhurnal Naukovedenie, 2015, vol. 7, no. 2, p. 18. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  19. Lisovskaya I.A., Mamedov T.S. [The model of capital asset evaluation as a tool for discount rate evaluation]. Rossiiskoe predprinimatel'stvo = Russian Journal of Entrepreneurship, 2016, vol. 17, no. 7, pp. 937–950. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  20. Okulov V.L., Khafizova K.R. [Features of the project and risk premium in investment decision making]. Vestnik Sankt-Peterburgskogo universiteta. Menedzhment = Vestnik of Saint Petersburg University. Management, 2018, vol. 17, no. 2, pp. 147–167. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  21. Damodaran A. Investitsionnaya otsenka: instrumenty i metody otsenki lyubykh aktivov [Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset]. Moscow, Al'pina Pablisher Publ., 2021, 1316 p.
  22. Suvorova L.V., Suvorova T.E., Kuklina M.V. [Analysis of models for assessing the cost of capital]. Vestnik Nizhegorodskogo universiteta im. N.I. Lobachevskogo. Seriya: Sotsial'nye nauki = Vestnik of Lobachevsky State University of Nizhny Novgorod. Series: Social Sciences, 2016, no. 1, pp. 38–47. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  23. Galevskii S.G. [CAPM modification for correct risk assessment in discounted cash flow method]. π-Economy, 2019, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 201–212. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  24. Hamada R.S. The Effect of the Firm's Capital Structure on the Systematic Risk of Common Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 1972, vol. 27, no. 2, pp. 435–452. URL: Link
  25. Damodaran A. Equity Risk Premiums (ERP): Determinants, Estimation and Implications – The 2022 Edition. URL: Link
  26. Banz R.W. The Relationship Between Return and Market Value of Common Stocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 1981, vol. 9, iss. 1, pp. 3–18. URL: Link90018-0
  27. Fama E.F., French K.R. Size, Value, and Momentum in International Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 2012, vol. 105, iss. 3, pp. 457–472. URL: Link
  28. Horowitz J.L., Loughran T., Savin N.E. The Disappearing Size Effect. Research in Economics, 2000, vol. 54, iss. 1, pp. 83–100. URL: Link
  29. Damodaran A. The Small Cap Premium: Where is the Beef? April 11, 2015. URL: Link
  30. Fomkina S.A. [Size effect: evidence from Russian capital market]. Vestnik SPbGU. Seriya 5. Ekonomika = St. Petersburg University Journal of Economic Studies, 2016, no. 4, pp. 92–103. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  31. Bogatyrev K.V., Dondokov B.Z., Zherebtsova M.K. et al. [Firm size and value]. Korporativnye finansy, 2013, vol. 7, no. 3, pp. 99–111. (In Russ.) URL: Link
  32. Shepeleva A.A., Nikitushkina I.V. [Assessment of the company-specific risk premium in estimating the required return on equity]. Finansovaya analitika: problemy i resheniya = Financial Analytics: Science and Experience, 2016, vol. 9, iss. 34, pp. 36–49. URL: Link (In Russ.)
  33. Honko J. Planirovanie i kontrol' kapitalovlozhenii [Planering och kontroll av investeringar]. Moscow, Ekonomika Publ., 1987, 191 p.
  34. Söderlind P. Inflation Risk Premia and Survey Evidence on Macroeconomic Uncertainty. International Journal of Central Banking, 2011, vol. 7, no. 2, pp. 113–133. URL: Link
  35. Belyaeva S., Voronov D., Erypalov S. Methodical Principles of Evaluation of Competitive Ability of Construction Industry and Real Estate Development Companies. MATEC Web Conf., 2017, vol. 106, 08033. URL: Link
  36. Voronov D.S. Dinamicheskaya kontseptsiya upravleniya konkurentosposobnost'yu predpriyatiya: monografiya [A dynamic concept of management of competitiveness of the enterprise: a monograph]. Saratov, Ai Pi Ar Media Publ., 2019, 316 p.

View all articles of issue

 

ISSN 2311-8709 (Online)
ISSN 2071-4688 (Print)

Journal current issue

Vol. 30, Iss. 4
April 2024

Archive