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Forecasting the dynamics of the Russian regional education development

Vol. 14, Iss. 12, DECEMBER 2018

Received: 21 June 2018

Received in revised form: 25 July 2018

Accepted: 19 August 2018

Available online: 14 December 2018

Subject Heading: SOCIAL SERVICES AND EDUCATION

JEL Classification: I28, O15, O18, R13, R58

Pages: 23172339

https://doi.org/10.24891/ni.14.12.2317

Smirnov V.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (Chuv SU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation
v2v3s4@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6198-3157

Mulendeeva A.V. I.N. Ulianov Chuvash State University (Chuv SU), Cheboksary, Chuvash Republic, Russian Federation
alena-mulendeeva@yandex.ru

ORCID id: not available

Subject The article reviews the dynamics of the regional education development in Russia.
Objectives The research identifies the Russian regions with high and low pace of the education development.
Methods The research is based on a systems approach and statistical and cluster analysis of the future dynamics of the Russian regional education development.
Results We found out that pre-school education, subsequent basic and secondary education are largely accessible for children. We also captured a slow-down in the training of professionals in the highly subsidized regions. There is a positive correlation of high growth rates of alumni who finished their secondary education programs in financially sustainable regions and an excess of teachers with the relevant qualification. Financially sustainable regions are interested in training qualified workers and servants. Teaching capabilities are expected to grow in the regions of the North, Far East and Siberia, pursuing the training under the Bachelors, Specialists and Masters programs.
Conclusions and Relevance As a result of statistical and cluster analysis, we showed the process of rearranging the Russian regional education in the long run. Financially sustainable regions are expected to seek to train professional workers and specialists, while highly subsidized ones prioritize high education programs. Hence, the latter will be exposed to labor market tensions, while financially sustainable ones will be able to soften them. Regions in the North, Far East and Siberia attract talent by allowing for free higher education, thus dooming themselves to the shortage of high professionals. The findings can be used to formulate and implement the strategy for the Russian regional education development.

Keywords: Bachelor course, preschool education, Master course, basic education, general secondary education

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