Subject. This article discusses the issues of scenario forecasting, collection and processing of information on the level of economic development of the country's regions and differentiation of Russian regions by population's income level. Objectives. The article aims to determine a set of interrelated parameters that have the most significant impact on the standard of living of the population. Methods. For the study, we used a comprehensive analysis. Results. The article presents an author-developed mathematical model that may help assess possible changes in the standard of living of the population of the country's regions based on several scenarios. The model includes variants of the values of particular indicators and takes into account the general economic situation in Russia. Conclusions. A significant gap in living standards between the regions of Russia cannot be overcome in the future until 2026.
Keywords: living standards, Russian regions, modeling, medium-term forecast, rating, development scenarios, integral indicator
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