Subject. This article analyzes the factors that contribute to the onset of fiscal risks in the field of revenues. Objectives. The article aims to analyze macroeconomic indicators reflecting the peculiarities of the development of a depressed region. Methods. For the study, I used a statistical analysis. Results. Based on the analysis of the main macroeconomic indicators of the Republic of Mordovia for 2011–2022, the article identifies risk factors associated with the formation of the revenue part of the budget of a depressed region. Relevance. The results of the study can be taken into account when improving the budget risk management system at the regional level.
Keywords: budget risk, depressed region, risk factor, budget tax revenues, probability of risk occurrence, dangerous consequences
References:
Galukhin A.V., Uskova T.V. [Improving the system of management of risks of the income base of regions' consolidated budgets]. Ekonomicheskie i sotsial'nye peremeny: fakty, tendentsii, prognoz = Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast, 2016, no. 6, pp. 162–179. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Sukhova A.Yu. [Characteristics of budget risks: the essence, current approaches and place in the system of financial risks]. Vestnik Altaiskoi akademii ekonomiki i prava = Journal of Altai Academy of Economics and Law, 2022, no. 5, part 2, pp. 267–274. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Vlasova J. Budget Risks of Russian Federation Regions, Determination and the Application in the Budget Process. Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences, 2015, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 362–368. URL: Link
Gamukin V.V. [Budgetary risks: introduction in the general axiomatics]. Terra Economicus, 2013, vol. 11, no. 3, pp. 52–61. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Tsvetova G.V. [Risks of the budgetary process: contents, classification, management]. Vlast' i upravlenie na Vostoke Rossii = Power and Administration in the East of Russia, 2016, no. 1, pp. 45–49. URL: Link(1-74)&rc=rio (In Russ.)
Terent'eva I.V. [Budget risks and risk factors]. Ekonomika i upravlenie: problemy, resheniya = Economics and Management: Problems, Solutions, 2017, vol. 4, no. 5, part 2, pp. 267–271. (In Russ.)
Victorova N., Rytova E., Koroleva L., Pokrovskaia N. Determinants of Tax Capacity for a Territory (The Case of the Russian Federal Districts). International Journal of Technology, 2020, vol. 11, iss. 6, pp. 1255–1264. URL: Link
Karpov D.M. [Factors of the emergence and development of budget risks at the regional level]. Ekonomika i upravlenie: problemy, resheniya = Economics and Management: Problems, Solutions, 2021, vol. 1, no. 12, pp. 63–68. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Malkina M.Yu. The Determinants of Budget Revenues of Russian Regions. R-economy, 2018, vol. 4, no. 3, pp. 95–104. URL: Link
Zubarevich N.V. [Regions of Russia in the new economic conditions]. Zhurnal Novoi ekonomicheskoi assotsiatsii = Journal of the New Economic Association, 2022, no. 3, pp. 226–234. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Osmolovskaya-Suslina A.L., Borisova S.R. [Regional budget revenues in early 2022: main trends and risk factors]. Finansovyi zhurnal = Financial Journal, 2022, vol. 14, no. 6, pp. 25–43. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Gorlova O.S. [Budget risk management: improvement of the organizational, legal and methodological framework]. Ekonomika. Nalogi. Pravo = Economics, Taxes & Law, 2017, vol. 10, no. 6, pp. 46–53. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Malkina M.Yu. Assessment of the Sustainability of Budget Revenues in the Regions of the Russian Federation. Zhurnal Sibirskogo federal'nogo universiteta. Gumanitarnye nauki = Journal of Siberian Federal University. Humanities & Social Sciences, 2020, vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 547–559. URL: Link
Grebenkina S.A. [Depressed region: the concept and evaluation mechanism of sustainable development]. TsITISE, 2019, no. 4, pp. 108–119. (In Russ.) URL: Link
Slushkina Yu.Yu. [Dynamics and problems of employment in the Republic of Mordovia in the context of decent work principles]. Ekonomika i predprinimatel'stvo = Journal of Economy and Entrepreneurship, 2022, no. 1, pp. 357–364. (In Russ.)
Krakovskaya I.N. [Small business development in the industry of the Republic of Mordovia]. Vestnik NII gumanitarnykh nauk pri Pravitel'stve Respubliki Mordoviya = Bulletin of Research Institute of Humanities by Government of Republic of Mordovia, 2020, no. 1, pp. 164–177. URL: Link (In Russ.)
Koroleva L.P. [A study of the tax revenue growth factors of the depressed region]. Finansy i kredit = Finance and Credit, 2020, vol. 26, iss. 8, pp. 1826–1845. (In Russ.) URL: Link