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Regional Economics: Theory and Practice
 

Forecasting changes in the demographic situation in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)

Vol. 22, Iss. 7, JULY 2024

Received: 7 May 2024

Received in revised form: 23 May 2024

Accepted: 10 June 2024

Available online: 15 July 2024

Subject Heading: ECONOMIC-MATHEMATICAL MODELING

JEL Classification: O18, O21

Pages: 1372–1400

https://doi.org/10.24891/re.22.7.1372

Ekaterina V. AKINFEEVA Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
tyusha08@gmail.com

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0657-9052

Mariya A. NIKONOVA Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, RAS (CEMI RAS), Moscow, Russian Federation
flowerchek1982@mail.ru

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4365-4066

Subject. This article discusses the issues related to the population of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia).
Objectives. The article aims to predict the demographic situation in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) on the basis of socio-economic factors.
Methods. For the study, we used a statistical analysis, time series regression modeling, and the forecasting method.
Results. Based on regression modeling of time series, eleven factors influencing the change in the population of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia) were identified. The article presents two developed forecasts of changes in the demographic situation.
Conclusions. The development of industry, science, and improving the quality of life of the population contribute to the improvement of the demographic situation in the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). The results obtained can be used to develop a comprehensive development programme for the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia).

Keywords: demographic situation, population, factors, forecasting, Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)

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